Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Carson Kelly

matchup for Jake Latz

397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Jake Latz

matchup for Carson Kelly

61st out of 567 (Best 12%)

Extreme advantage for Kelly

Carson Kelly has a 37.2% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 4.4% higher than Kelly's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Latz.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.2%	22.5%	3.2%	5.6%	13.6%	14.7%	17.1%
Kelly	+4.4	-0.5	+0.1	+0.6	-1.3	+4.9	-2.0
Latz	+2.7	+1.6	+0.5	+0.8	+0.4	+1.1	-5.7

Carson Kelly is better vs left-handed pitching. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Kelly has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Carson Kelly has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

50%

Changeup (L)

23%

Slider (L)

22%

Curve (L)

7% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

42% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 42%

+23%

Fast Velo 32%

+22%

High Ride 31%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 23%

+10%

11.5% of Carson Kelly's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.2% -1.3% 4%

Walk +0.3% +6.7% 38%

In Play +5.0% -5.5% 39%

On Base -1.8% +1.7% 31%

Hit -2.1% -5.1% 14%

Single -1.2% -3.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% -3.0% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +1.4%

35.2% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Jake Latz induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% -5.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.0% -3.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.6% +3.3% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +7.7%

21.0% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.8% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% -1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.0% +2.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.3% -0.6%

13.9% of Carson Kelly's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%