matchup for John Means
matchup for Carson Kelly
7
Carson Kelly has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 1.4% lower than Kelly's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Means.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.4% | 23.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 16.7% |
| Kelly | -1.4 | +1.3 | +0.7 | +1.0 | -0.5 | -2.7 | -2.8 |
| Means | +0.4 | -0.3 | +0.5 | -0.6 | -0.3 | +0.8 | -4.3 |
Carson Kelly is better vs left-handed pitching. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kelly has a B grade vs this particular release point.
John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Carson Kelly has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
49%
Changeup (L)
28%
Slider (L)
12%
Curve (L)
11%
9% of John Means's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
9%
+4%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Chaser
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Weak Challenge
3%
-6%
31% of John Means's pitches are classified as Extreme Ride, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Ride
31%
+27%
Medium Break
40%
+21%
Offspeed (L)
28%
+15%
Medium Fast Velo
24%
+9%
11.0% of Carson Kelly's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-6.0%
-0.2%
4%
Walk
+0.8%
-2.7%
37%
In Play
+5.2%
+2.9%
39%
On Base
-0.6%
-4.8%
31%
Hit
-1.4%
-2.1%
14%
Single
-1.1%
-1.5%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.2%
-1.1%
3%
Home Run
+1.0%
+0.5%
35.2% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. John Means induces Standard Grounders at a 23.3% rate, which is 11.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.7%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.8%
-11.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.4%
-1.7%
14%
Low Screamer
+1.0%
+0.6%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.8%
+0.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.2%
+0.6%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.5%
0.0%
1%
No Doubter
-0.2%
+0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.2%
+5.9%
3%
Pop up
+1.5%
+4.8%
21.2% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+5.7%
-0.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.7%
+1.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.0%
-3.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
0.0%
+0.3%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.1%
+2.6%
13.8% of Carson Kelly's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-0.6%
-7.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.1%
-4.8%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.1%
+0.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-4.0%
-0.2%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.3%
+1.2%
11%
29 to 38°
+2.4%
+1.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.8%
+1.8%
8%
Above 50°
+2.3%
+8.5%
No History in the last 3 years
