Joey Gallo has a 24.7% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 6.2% lower than Gallo's typical expectations, and 4.5% lower than batters facing Miller.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 24.7% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 45.9% |
Gallo | -6.2 | -3.0 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -3.2 | +10.2 |
Miller | -4.5 | -5.7 | +0.1 | -0.8 | -4.9 | +1.1 | +16.1 |
Joey Gallo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gallo has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Joey Gallo has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers
24.9% of Joey Gallo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 17.3% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Joey Gallo has 2 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-07-26 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-07-26 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.