Matchup Machine

Joey Gallo

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

31st out of 436 (Best 8%)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for Joey Gallo

556th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Extreme advantage for Skubal
10

Model Prediction

Joey Gallo has a 22.1% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 8.7% lower than Gallo's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.1%15.9%3.0%3.4%9.6%6.2%45.4%
Gallo-8.7-1.9-0.4-1.1-0.3-6.9+9.6
Skubal-3.1-4.1+0.8-0.7-4.2+0.9+15.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Gallo is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gallo has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Joey Gallo has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Sinker (L)
16%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

24.9% of Joey Gallo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 17.3% higher than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 7%         Strikeout +17.3% +6.3% 2%         Walk +4.9% -3.3% 49%         In Play -22.2% -3.0% 39%         On Base -8.3% -5.6% 31%         Hit -13.1% -2.3% 14%         Single -7.9% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -7.5% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +2.2% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years