Matchup Machine

Joey Gallo

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matchup for Logan Webb

115th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Joey Gallo

296th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Leans in favor of Webb
2

Model Prediction

Joey Gallo has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.2% higher than Gallo's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%21.0%2.8%4.9%13.2%10.2%33.3%
Gallo+0.2+3.1-0.6+0.4+3.3-2.9-2.5
Webb-1.1-3.8+0.4-0.3-3.9+2.7+11.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Gallo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gallo has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Joey Gallo has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

24.9% of Joey Gallo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 17.3% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 7%         Strikeout +17.3% -0.8% 2%         Walk +4.9% -2.4% 49%         In Play -22.2% +3.2% 39%         On Base -8.3% +1.6% 31%         Hit -13.1% +4.0% 14%         Single -7.9% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -7.5% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -1.3%

History

Joey Gallo has 5 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551010100.200
Expected From Contact →1.280.290.640.360.256
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-16Groundout10%89%
2022-09-16Fielders Choice99%
2022-09-05Strikeout
2022-09-05Double29%62%9%
2022-09-05Groundout16%83%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.