Matchup Machine

      Joey Gallo

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      matchup for Austin Gomber

      80th out of 436 (Best 19%)

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      Austin Gomber

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      matchup for Joey Gallo

      192nd out of 567 (Best 35%)

      Leans in favor of Gallo
      2

      Model Prediction

      Joey Gallo has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.0% lower than Gallo's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Gomber.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Joey Gallo is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Gallo has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Joey Gallo has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      42%
         Slider (L)
      21%
         Kn-Curve (L)
      18%
         Changeup (L)
      18%

      Contact and Outcomes

      24.9% of Joey Gallo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 17.3% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 7%         Strikeout +17.3% -3.3% 2%         Walk +4.9% -2.5% 49%         In Play -22.2% +5.9% 39%         On Base -8.3% +0.6% 31%         Hit -13.1% +3.1% 14%         Single -7.9% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -7.5% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.3%

      History

      Joey Gallo has 1 plate appearance against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-10-05Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.