Matchup Machine

Joey Gallo

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matchup for Martin Perez

102nd out of 436 (Best 24%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Joey Gallo

117th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Moderate advantage for Gallo
5

Model Prediction

Joey Gallo has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.4% higher than Gallo's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%19.9%3.7%4.5%11.7%14.3%28.0%
Gallo+3.4+2.1+0.30.0+1.8+1.3-7.8
Perez-0.4-5.4+0.6-0.9-5.2+5.0+9.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Gallo is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gallo has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Joey Gallo has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

24.9% of Joey Gallo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 17.3% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 7%         Strikeout +17.3% -6.1% 2%         Walk +4.9% -0.3% 49%         In Play -22.2% +6.4% 39%         On Base -8.3% +5.9% 31%         Hit -13.1% +6.3% 14%         Single -7.9% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -7.5% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -0.6%

History

Joey Gallo has 3 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010100.333
Expected From Contact →1.450.250.660.540.482
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-04Groundout45%54%
2024-04-04Double25%66%8%1%
2024-04-04Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.