Matchup Machine

      Alex Bregman

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      matchup for S. Woods Rich.

      417th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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      Simeon Woods Rich.

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      matchup for Alex Bregman

      139th out of 564 (Best 25%)

      Extreme advantage for Bregman
      10

      Model Prediction

      Alex Bregman has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 1.8% higher than Bregman's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Alex Bregman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bregman has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Alex Bregman has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      40%
         Slider (R)
      30%
         Changeup (R)
      20%
         Curve (R)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      8.6% of Alex Bregman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.1% -3.2% 5%         Walk -2.2% +1.0% 35%         In Play +12.3% +2.2% 39%         On Base +4.4% +4.1% 31%         Hit +6.6% +3.1% 14%         Single +2.1% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.3% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +1.0%

      History

      Alex Bregman has 5 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a home run and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual552101100.400
      Expected From Contact →2.090.940.061.090.418
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-07-07Single86%13%
      2024-07-07Groundout20%79%
      2024-07-07Flyout2%2%96%
      2024-06-02Strikeout
      2024-06-02Home Run94%3%3%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.