Alex Bregman has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 1.8% higher than Bregman's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 37.0% | 26.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% |
Bregman | +1.8 | +0.8 | +0.5 | -0.3 | +0.6 | +1.0 | -2.5 |
Woods Rich. | +3.0 | +2.0 | +0.7 | +0.1 | +1.2 | +0.9 | -9.5 |
Alex Bregman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bregman has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Alex Bregman has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
8% of Simeon Woods Rich.'s pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
21% of Simeon Woods Rich.'s pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has a B grade against this type of pitch.
8.6% of Alex Bregman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
28.0% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% lower than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. induces Standard Grounders at a 33.0% rate, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
20.3% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. 17.6% of batted balls allowed by Simeon Woods Rich. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
12.5% of Alex Bregman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Simeon Woods Rich. are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Alex Bregman has 5 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a home run and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
Expected From Contact → | 2.09 | 0.94 | 0.06 | 1.09 | 0.418 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-07-07 | Single | 86% | 13% | ||
2024-07-07 | Groundout | 20% | 79% | ||
2024-07-07 | Flyout | 2% | 2% | 96% | |
2024-06-02 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-06-02 | Home Run | 94% | 3% | 3% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.