Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Bregman

matchup for Ryan Weathers

417th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Alex Bregman

469th out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Strong advantage for Bregman

Alex Bregman has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.8% lower than Bregman's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.0%	24.5%	2.5%	6.0%	16.0%	8.5%	13.8%
Bregman	-1.8	-0.9	-1.1	+0.5	-0.3	-1.0	-0.3
Weathers	+3.1	+2.9	+0.4	+0.4	+2.1	+0.2	-10.9

Alex Bregman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Bregman has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Alex Bregman has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

8.6% of Alex Bregman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.1% -2.1% 5%

Walk -2.1% -0.6% 35%

In Play +12.2% +2.7% 39%

On Base +4.7% +0.9% 31%

Hit +6.8% +1.5% 14%

Single +2.2% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +2.3% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -0.5%

27.9% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.5% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +1.7% +1.2%

20.3% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.7% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.0% +1.1%

12.5% of Alex Bregman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%