Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Bregman

matchup for Kutter Crawford

421st out of 436 (Worst 4%)

Kutter Crawford

matchup for Alex Bregman

496th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Strong advantage for Bregman

Alex Bregman has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Kutter Crawford, which is 4.0% lower than Bregman's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Crawford.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.8%	23.1%	3.4%	5.4%	14.3%	7.7%	14.1%
Bregman	-4.0	-2.3	-0.1	-0.1	-2.0	-1.8	-0.1
Crawford	+2.8	+2.9	+0.6	+0.7	+1.7	-0.1	-10.4

Alex Bregman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Kutter Crawford is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bregman has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Kutter Crawford throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Alex Bregman has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Cutter (R)

31%

Slider (R)

14%

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

13% of Kutter Crawford's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

68% of Kutter Crawford's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 68%

+14%

Small Break 24%

+13%

Extreme Ride 15%

+11%

Medium Slow Velo 24%

+10%

8.6% of Alex Bregman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Kutter Crawford strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.1% +0.8% 5%

Walk -2.1% -0.9% 35%

In Play +12.2% +0.1% 39%

On Base +4.7% -4.5% 31%

Hit +6.8% -3.6% 14%

Single +2.2% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B +2.3% -2.4% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +1.7%

27.9% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% lower than the league average. Kutter Crawford induces Standard Grounders at a 28.8% rate, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.5% -5.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% +1.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% +3.4% 3%

Pop up +1.7% +2.6%

20.3% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. 24.2% of batted balls allowed by Kutter Crawford are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% -0.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% +6.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.7% -4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% -2.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.0% -0.1%

12.5% of Alex Bregman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 14.1% of batted balls allowed by Kutter Crawford are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.4% -2.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% -1.9% 18%

7 to 18° -0.1% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° +1.4% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +1.1% +2.6% 7%

39 to 50° +1.4% +2.4% 8%

Above 50° +3.2% +3.7%

Alex Bregman has 5 plate appearances against Kutter Crawford in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	2	0	0	2	1	0	0.400
Expected From Contact →			1.89	0.00	0.02	1.87			0.379

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-30	Single		1%	63%	36%
2023-08-30	Groundout			58%	42%
2022-08-02	Groundout			53%	47%
2022-08-02	Strikeout
2022-08-02	Single			14%	86%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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