matchup for George Kirby
matchup for Alex Bregman
7
Alex Bregman has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 4.0% lower than Bregman's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Kirby.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.3% | 26.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 17.6% | 4.9% | 13.2% |
| Bregman | -4.0 | +0.6 | +0.2 | -0.5 | +0.9 | -4.6 | -1.5 |
| Kirby | +3.0 | +3.7 | +1.1 | -0.2 | +2.8 | -0.7 | -7.6 |
Alex Bregman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Bregman has an A grade vs this particular release point.
George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Alex Bregman has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
40%
Slider (R)
22%
Sinker (R)
19%
Curve (R)
8%
Splitter (R)
6%
12% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
12%
+3%
Edge Painter
19%
+2%
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Likely Ball
17%
-2%
Meatball
3%
-3%
Non-Competitive
8%
-4%
26% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
26%
+18%
Medium Break
18%
+9%
8.6% of Alex Bregman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-10.1%
+0.6%
5%
Walk
-2.2%
-5.1%
35%
In Play
+12.3%
+4.5%
39%
On Base
+4.4%
-4.0%
31%
Hit
+6.6%
+1.1%
14%
Single
+2.1%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+2.3%
+0.8%
3%
Home Run
+2.2%
-0.1%
28.0% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% lower than the league average. George Kirby induces Standard Grounders at a 36.7% rate, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.1%
-0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
-6.4%
+2.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.2%
+0.0%
14%
Low Screamer
+2.7%
-2.1%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
-2.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.1%
-0.7%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.4%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
-0.2%
-1.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
+3.6%
+3.2%
3%
Pop up
+1.7%
+2.2%
20.3% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. 21.9% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.2%
-3.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.2%
+2.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.8%
+2.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+2.3%
+1.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-4.0%
-2.4%
12.5% of Alex Bregman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-4.4%
+2.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.6%
+2.2%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.0%
-1.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.1%
-5.3%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.4%
-1.9%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.0%
+0.9%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.5%
+1.0%
8%
Above 50°
+3.2%
+1.8%
Alex Bregman has 22 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 22 with 5 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 22 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0.182 |
| Expected From Contact → | 4.75 | 0.08 | 1.05 | 3.61 | 0.216 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-25 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-09-25 | Groundout | 6% | 94% | ||
| 2024-07-20 | Groundout | 23% | 77% | ||
| 2024-07-20 | Single | 1% | 37% | 61% | |
| 2024-07-20 | Hit By Pitch | ||||
| 2024-05-29 | Single | 42% | 32% | 26% | |
| 2024-05-29 | Groundout | 71% | 29% | ||
| 2024-05-29 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-05-03 | Lineout | 2% | 15% | 83% | |
| 2024-05-03 | Groundout | 4% | 7% | 89% | |
| 2024-05-03 | Single | 80% | 20% | ||
| 2023-09-26 | Flyout | 6% | 13% | 81% | |
| 2023-09-26 | Single | 19% | 81% | ||
| 2023-09-26 | Groundout | 26% | 7% | 67% | |
| 2023-07-06 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-07-06 | Groundout | 67% | 33% | ||
| 2023-07-06 | Groundout | 11% | 89% | ||
| 2022-10-15 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-10-15 | Flyout | 1% | 98% | ||
| 2022-10-15 | Flyout | 98% | |||
| 2022-07-31 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-07-31 | Flyout | 100% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
