Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Bregman

matchup for Alex Speas

429th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Alex Bregman

out of 564 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Bregman

Alex Bregman has a 38.3% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 3.1% higher than Bregman's typical expectations, and 4.4% higher than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.3%	25.0%	3.1%	6.8%	15.2%	13.3%	13.6%
Bregman	+3.1	-0.7	-0.5	+1.3	-1.5	+3.8	-1.0
Speas	+4.4	+3.9	+0.5	+1.6	+1.8	+0.4	-10.9

Alex Bregman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Bregman has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Alex Bregman has an A- grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

8.6% of Alex Bregman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.1% +19.9% 5%

Walk -2.2% -0.6% 35%

In Play +12.3% -19.3% 39%

On Base +4.4% -8.2% 31%

Hit +6.6% -7.6% 14%

Single +2.1% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B +2.3% -5.2% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +3.3%

28.0% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% lower than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.4% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +1.7% +8.5%

20.3% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.8% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.3% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.0% -10.5%

12.5% of Alex Bregman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%