Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Bregman

matchup for Ryan Feltner

418th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

Ryan Feltner

matchup for Alex Bregman

136th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Extreme advantage for Bregman

Alex Bregman has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 1.2% higher than Bregman's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Feltner.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.1%	27.9%	4.0%	5.7%	18.1%	8.2%	11.2%
Bregman	+1.2	+2.5	+0.4	+0.2	+1.9	-1.3	-3.0
Feltner	+2.7	+3.2	+1.1	-0.3	+2.3	-0.5	-9.0

Alex Bregman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bregman has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Alex Bregman has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

15%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

10%

10% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

31% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Small Drop 21%

+9%

8.6% of Alex Bregman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.1% -5.1% 5%

Walk -2.1% 0.0% 35%

In Play +12.2% +5.1% 39%

On Base +4.7% +5.3% 31%

Hit +6.8% +5.3% 14%

Single +2.2% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +2.3% +2.7% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +0.1%

27.9% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.5% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% +5.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% -0.8% 3%

Pop up +1.7% +1.6%

20.3% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. 20.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% +7.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.7% -4.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.0% -4.2%

12.5% of Alex Bregman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.4% -2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° -0.1% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° +1.4% -4.4% 11%

29 to 38° +1.1% -1.6% 7%

39 to 50° +1.4% +2.8% 8%

Above 50° +3.2% +5.0%

Alex Bregman has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.20	0.00	0.00	0.20			0.067

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-26	Strikeout
2024-06-26	Groundout			20%	80%
2024-06-26	Flyout				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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