Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Bregman

matchup for Logan Webb

425th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Alex Bregman

179th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Extreme advantage for Bregman

Alex Bregman has a 37.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.3% higher than Bregman's typical expectations, and 5.0% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.2%	29.2%	3.3%	5.6%	20.3%	8.0%	13.7%
Bregman	+2.3	+3.8	-0.3	+0.1	+4.0	-1.5	-0.4
Webb	+5.0	+4.4	+0.9	+0.4	+3.2	+0.6	-8.3

Alex Bregman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bregman has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Alex Bregman has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

8.6% of Alex Bregman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.1% -0.8% 5%

Walk -2.1% -2.4% 35%

In Play +12.2% +3.2% 39%

On Base +4.7% +1.6% 31%

Hit +6.8% +4.0% 14%

Single +2.2% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +2.3% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -1.3%

27.9% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.5% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +1.7% -1.4%

20.3% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.7% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.0% +3.6%

12.5% of Alex Bregman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.4% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -0.1% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +1.4% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +1.1% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +1.4% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +3.2% -5.1%

Alex Bregman has 7 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 7 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	7	3	1	0	2	0	0	0.429
Expected From Contact →			3.12	0.94	0.07	2.11			0.445

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-12	Groundout			23%	77%
2024-06-12	Single			90%	10%
2024-06-12	Single		2%	68%	30%
2023-05-03	Groundout			3%	97%
2023-05-03	Flyout		3%	17%	80%
2023-05-03	GIDP			11%	89%
2023-05-03	Home Run	94%	1%		5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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