Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Alex Bregman

matchup for Austin Gomber

417th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

Austin Gomber

matchup for Alex Bregman

162nd out of 567 (Best 29%)

Extreme advantage for Bregman

Alex Bregman has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.9% lower than Bregman's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Gomber.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	29.0%	4.5%	5.9%	18.7%	4.9%	8.9%
Bregman	-0.9	+3.7	+0.9	+0.4	+2.4	-4.6	-5.3
Gomber	+2.2	+3.1	+1.1	-0.8	+2.8	-1.0	-8.9

Alex Bregman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Bregman has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Alex Bregman has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

42%

Slider (L)

21%

Kn-Curve (L)

18%

Changeup (L)

18%

9% of Austin Gomber's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 11%

Weak Challenge 9%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

42% of Austin Gomber's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Alex Bregman has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 42%

+23%

Extreme Drop 16%

+11%

Breaking (L) 40%

+10%

8.6% of Alex Bregman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.1% -3.3% 5%

Walk -2.1% -2.5% 35%

In Play +12.2% +5.9% 39%

On Base +4.7% +0.6% 31%

Hit +6.8% +3.1% 14%

Single +2.2% +1.2% 13%

2B / 3B +2.3% +1.6% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +0.3%

27.9% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.5% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber induces Standard Grounders at a 32.5% rate, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.5% -1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +2.7% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.7% -1.6%

20.3% of Alex Bregman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Austin Gomber are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% -1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.7% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% +4.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.0% -2.8%

12.5% of Alex Bregman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 12.1% of batted balls allowed by Austin Gomber are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.4% -0.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° -1.0% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° -0.1% -0.5% 15%

19 to 28° +1.4% +1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +1.1% +0.6% 7%

39 to 50° +1.4% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +3.2% -0.8%

Alex Bregman has 9 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 9 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	9	2	0	0	2	1	0	0.222
Expected From Contact →			2.05	0.01	0.50	1.54			0.228

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-25	Strikeout
2024-06-25	Pop Out				100%
2024-06-25	Single			19%	81%
2024-04-28	Groundout
2024-04-28	Pop Out				99%
2024-04-28	Single			87%	13%
2023-07-19	Groundout			37%	63%
2023-07-19	Lineout		49%	2%	48%
2023-07-19	Groundout			9%	91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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