Matchup Machine

Jose Ramirez

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matchup for Bryce Miller

412th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Jose Ramirez

453rd out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Ramirez
5

Model Prediction

Jose Ramirez has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.4% lower than Ramirez's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%22.2%3.2%4.8%14.2%9.1%17.5%
Ramirez-1.4-1.9-0.2-1.2-0.5+0.5+2.6
Miller+2.1+1.8+0.9+0.4+0.5+0.3-12.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Ramirez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ramirez has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jose Ramirez has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

7.2% of Jose Ramirez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.4% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.4% +0.2% 5%         Walk -1.2% -2.5% 34%         In Play +13.6% +2.3% 39%         On Base -0.8% -3.2% 31%         Hit +0.4% -0.7% 14%         Single -0.8% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.5%

History

Jose Ramirez has 3 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →0.790.000.270.530.265
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-18Single12%44%44%
2024-06-18Lineout14%9%77%
2024-06-18Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.