Matchup Machine

Jose Ramirez

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matchup for Cole Ragans

412th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Cole Ragans

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matchup for Jose Ramirez

422nd out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Strong advantage for Ramirez
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Model Prediction

Jose Ramirez has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 1.3% lower than Ramirez's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Ragans.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%21.2%3.7%5.3%12.3%10.8%17.6%
Ramirez-1.3-3.1-0.1-0.4-2.6+1.8+2.5
Ragans+1.7+3.3+1.1+0.8+1.3-1.6-14.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Ramirez is better vs left-handed pitching. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ramirez has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Jose Ramirez has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Changeup (L)
24%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Slider (L)
10%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

7.3% of Jose Ramirez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.3% +4.4% 5%         Walk -1.6% +1.2% 34%         In Play +13.9% -5.6% 39%         On Base -1.6% -1.8% 31%         Hit -0.1% -3.0% 14%         Single -1.1% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +2.4% -0.3%

History

Jose Ramirez has 11 plate appearances against Cole Ragans in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 11 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11111010400.091
Expected From Contact →0.410.000.160.250.038
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Groundout
2025-03-27Sac Fly
2025-03-27Flyout
2024-08-26Forceout5%95%
2024-08-26Flyout2%97%
2024-06-29Double13%20%67%
2024-06-29Pop Out100%
2024-06-29Strikeout
2022-09-25Strikeout
2022-09-25Strikeout
2022-09-25Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.