Matchup Machine

Jose Ramirez

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matchup for Joe Ryan

413th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Joe Ryan

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matchup for Jose Ramirez

510th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Leans in favor of Ramirez
2

Model Prediction

Jose Ramirez has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 4.3% lower than Ramirez's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Ryan.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%21.8%3.2%5.9%12.6%6.6%17.6%
Ramirez-4.3-2.4-0.20.0-2.1-2.0+2.8
Ryan+1.6+1.6+0.7+0.6+0.2+0.0-11.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Ramirez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ramirez has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jose Ramirez has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

7.2% of Jose Ramirez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.4% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.4% +4.7% 5%         Walk -1.2% -3.3% 34%         In Play +13.6% -1.4% 39%         On Base -0.8% -8.0% 31%         Hit +0.4% -4.7% 14%         Single -0.8% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -2.7% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.9%

History

Jose Ramirez has 20 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 19 with a home run, a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual20194112110.211
Expected From Contact →2.790.170.422.200.147
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-06Flyout8%8%84%
2024-04-06Single11%89%
2024-04-06Lineout2%44%54%
2023-09-06Groundout1%98%
2023-09-06Flyout99%
2023-06-04Pop Out99%
2023-06-04Walk
2023-06-04Groundout40%60%
2023-05-07Single17%83%
2023-05-07Pop Out100%
2023-05-07Groundout3%4%93%
2022-09-18Strikeout
2022-09-18Pop Out100%
2022-09-18Lineout3%20%76%
2022-06-21Pop Out100%
2022-06-21Pop Out2%98%
2022-06-21Double2%91%8%
2022-05-15Flyout99%
2022-05-15Pop Out100%
2022-05-15Home Run14%3%83%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.