Jose Ramirez has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.0% higher than Ramirez's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Flaherty.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.7% | 24.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 14.8% |
Ramirez | +2.0 | +0.5 | +1.4 | -1.0 | +0.1 | +1.6 | -0.1 |
Flaherty | +0.5 | +1.3 | +1.3 | -0.2 | +0.3 | -0.8 | -8.0 |
Jose Ramirez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ramirez has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jose Ramirez has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
7.2% of Jose Ramirez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.4% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Jose Ramirez has 15 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 15 with a home run and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.200 |
Expected From Contact → | 3.33 | 0.58 | 1.04 | 1.71 | 0.222 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-09-08 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-09-08 | Flyout | 2% | 97% | ||
2024-09-08 | Single | 3% | 71% | 26% | |
2024-07-24 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-07-24 | Pop Out | 99% | |||
2024-07-24 | Flyout | 1% | 98% | ||
2024-07-11 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-07-11 | Flyout | 100% | |||
2024-07-11 | Flyout | 3% | 59% | 1% | 37% |
2024-05-06 | Home Run | 55% | 36% | 9% | |
2024-05-06 | Flyout | 99% | |||
2024-05-06 | Groundout | 1% | 5% | 94% | |
2023-05-27 | Single | 2% | 91% | 8% | |
2023-05-27 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-05-27 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.