Matchup Machine

Jose Ramirez

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matchup for Freddy Peralta

408th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Freddy Peralta

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matchup for Jose Ramirez

428th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Moderate advantage for Ramirez
5

Model Prediction

Jose Ramirez has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 1.3% lower than Ramirez's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Peralta.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%20.2%3.4%4.3%12.4%11.3%14.7%
Ramirez-1.3-4.00.0-1.6-2.3+2.7-0.2
Peralta+2.0+2.2+0.6+0.3+1.3-0.2-12.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Ramirez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Ramirez has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Jose Ramirez has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

7.2% of Jose Ramirez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.4% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.4% +8.8% 5%         Walk -1.2% +1.0% 34%         In Play +13.6% -9.8% 39%         On Base -0.8% -6.8% 31%         Hit +0.4% -7.8% 14%         Single -0.8% -3.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -3.6% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -0.3%

History

Jose Ramirez has 6 plate appearances against Freddy Peralta in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual641001020.250
Expected From Contact →0.900.000.030.870.225
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-17Groundout6%94%
2024-08-17Pop Out100%
2024-08-17Walk
2023-06-24Flyout100%
2023-06-24Single3%80%17%
2023-06-24Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.