Matchup Machine

Jose Ramirez

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matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

402nd out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Nestor Cortes Jr.

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matchup for Jose Ramirez

234th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Extreme advantage for Ramirez
9

Model Prediction

Jose Ramirez has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 1.2% lower than Ramirez's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Cortes Jr..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%23.7%4.3%6.3%13.2%7.9%11.8%
Ramirez-1.2-0.5+0.8+0.3-1.6-0.7-3.1
Cortes Jr.+0.0+1.9+0.9+0.9+0.1-1.8-12.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Ramirez is better vs left-handed pitching. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ramirez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Jose Ramirez has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Cutter (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
20%
   Changeup (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

7.2% of Jose Ramirez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.4% lower than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.4% -0.1% 5%         Walk -1.2% -0.6% 34%         In Play +13.6% +0.6% 39%         On Base -0.8% -2.1% 31%         Hit +0.4% -1.6% 14%         Single -0.8% -1.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +1.5%

History

Jose Ramirez has 16 plate appearances against Nestor Cortes Jr. in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 16 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual16161100600.063
Expected From Contact →1.110.120.760.230.069
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-21Pop Out100%
2024-08-21Groundout10%90%
2024-08-21Pop Out100%
2024-04-14Home Run11%73%10%5%
2024-04-14Strikeout
2022-10-18Pop Out100%
2022-10-18Sac Fly99%
2022-10-14Strikeout
2022-10-14Pop Out100%
2022-10-14Flyout1%98%
2022-07-02Strikeout
2022-07-02Strikeout
2022-07-02Strikeout
2022-04-23Strikeout
2022-04-23Flyout1%99%
2022-04-23Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.