Matchup Machine

Jose Ramirez

Worst 28% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 45% of matchups for Jose Ramirez

Strong advantage for Ramirez

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.7%	4.6%	17.8%	5.9%	9.3%
MLB (+/-)	-0.1	+0.3	+3.8	-3.8	-15.9
Ramirez	+0.1	+0.1	+1.2	-2.1	-5.9
Gomber	-0.6	+0.2	+1.6	-2.0	-7.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.7%

4.6%

17.8%

5.9%

9.3%

MLB (+/-)

-0.1

+0.3

+3.8

-3.8

-15.9

Ramirez

+0.1

+1.2

-2.1

-5.9

Gomber

-0.6

+0.2

+1.6

-2.0

-7.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	3	0	1	2	0	0	.600
Expected From Contact →			2.71	0.01	0.75	1.96			.543

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-24	Groundout			29%	71%
2023-04-24	Flyout		8%		91%
2022-06-15	Single		3%	86%	11%
2022-06-15	Double		64%	10%	26%
2022-06-15	Single			70%	29%
2020-08-29	Pop Out				100%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	48%	112	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

48%

112

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	46%	105	Fastball	16	45%
⭐	27%	77	Breaking	-26	37%
	23%	42	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐⭐	46%	87	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
⭐	55%	72	Slider	-6	20%
	53%	42	Changeup	0	18%
⭐	46%	63	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

46%

105

Fastball

45%

⭐

27%

Breaking

-26

37%

23%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐⭐

46%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

⭐

55%

Slider

-6

20%

53%

Changeup

18%

⭐

46%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	69%	55	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐⭐	73%	110	Top of zone	-3	12%
⭐⭐	67%	80	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
⭐⭐	62%	94	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
	69%	49	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

69%

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐⭐

73%

110

Top of zone

-3

12%

⭐⭐

67%

Away / Arm Side

11%

⭐⭐

62%

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

69%

Middle

-23

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	47%	65	Below the zone	22	30%
⭐⭐	40%	125	In / Glove Side	30	24%
⭐⭐	25%	101	Above the zone	8	24%
⭐	27%	70	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

47%

Below the zone

30%

⭐⭐

40%

125

In / Glove Side

24%

⭐⭐

25%

101

Above the zone

24%

⭐

27%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	20%	42	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	58%	104	Batter Behind	0	28%
	59%	58	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	69%	92	2 Strikes	-23	26%
	72%	20	3 Balls	2	8%
	83%	35	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

20%

First Pitch

28%

⭐⭐

58%

104

Batter Behind

28%

59%

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐⭐

69%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

72%

3 Balls

83%

Full Count

-9