Matchup Machine

Jacob Stallings

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matchup for Jared Jones

198th out of 436 (Best 46%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Jacob Stallings

414th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Leans in favor of Jones
2

Model Prediction

Jacob Stallings has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.5% lower than Stallings's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%20.9%2.7%5.5%12.7%9.4%31.3%
Stallings-1.5-1.8+0.0+0.5-2.4+0.3+6.0
Jones-0.7+0.1-0.2+0.5-0.1-0.8+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jacob Stallings is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stallings has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jacob Stallings has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.5% of Jacob Stallings's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.1% +0.4% 4%         Walk +1.4% +0.6% 40%         In Play -1.3% -1.1% 39%         On Base +1.7% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.3% -0.8% 14%         Single +0.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years