Matchup Machine

Jacob Stallings

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

212th out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Jacob Stallings

198th out of 567 (Best 36%)

Moderate advantage for Stallings
5

Model Prediction

Jacob Stallings has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.9% higher than Stallings's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%21.8%3.0%4.7%14.1%12.0%23.9%
Stallings+1.9-0.9+0.4-0.4-0.9+2.8-1.4
Anderson+0.1-0.4+0.1-0.6+0.0+0.5+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jacob Stallings is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stallings has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jacob Stallings has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.5% of Jacob Stallings's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.1% -1.9% 4%         Walk +1.4% -1.0% 40%         In Play -1.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base +1.7% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.3% +0.9% 14%         Single +0.0% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -0.2%

History

Jacob Stallings has 5 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual541010010.250
Expected From Contact →0.470.040.400.030.117
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-08-26Flyout2%5%94%
2022-08-26Walk
2022-08-19Flyout2%98%
2022-08-19Flyout2%98%
2022-08-19Double2%32%2%64%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.