Matchup Machine

Kevin Pillar

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matchup for Jake Latz

54th out of 436 (Best 13%)

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Jake Latz

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matchup for Kevin Pillar

186th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Leans in favor of Latz
2

Model Prediction

Kevin Pillar has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 2.0% higher than Pillar's typical expectations, and 4.3% lower than batters facing Latz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%19.9%1.7%5.1%13.0%10.2%22.3%
Pillar+2.0-1.2-0.1+0.1-1.3+3.2-3.3
Latz-4.3-1.0-1.0+0.2-0.2-3.4-0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Kevin Pillar is better vs left-handed pitching. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Pillar has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Kevin Pillar has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
50%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Curve (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Kevin Pillar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% -1.3% 6%         Walk -3.2% +6.7% 38%         In Play +3.9% -5.5% 39%         On Base -6.0% +1.7% 31%         Hit -2.8% -5.1% 14%         Single -1.4% -3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -3.0% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years