Matchup Machine

      Trea Turner

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      matchup for Andrew Wantz

      353rd out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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      Andrew Wantz

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      matchup for Trea Turner

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Strong advantage for Turner
      6

      Model Prediction

      Trea Turner has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.6% lower than Turner's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Wantz.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Trea Turner is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Turner has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Trea Turner has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      45%
         Slider (R)
      25%
         Cutter (R)
      24%
         Changeup (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      11.0% of Trea Turner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.0% +7.5% 5%         Walk -3.0% +2.0% 36%         In Play +9.0% -9.5% 39%         On Base +1.6% -6.5% 31%         Hit +4.6% -8.5% 14%         Single +1.7% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% -3.9% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -0.3%

      History

      Trea Turner has 1 plate appearance against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.001
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-06-14Flyout100%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.