Matchup Machine

      Trea Turner

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      matchup for S. Woods Rich.

      376th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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      Simeon Woods Rich.

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      matchup for Trea Turner

      76th out of 564 (Best 14%)

      Extreme advantage for Turner
      9

      Model Prediction

      Trea Turner has a 35.7% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 3.3% higher than Turner's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Trea Turner is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Turner has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Trea Turner has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      40%
         Slider (R)
      30%
         Changeup (R)
      20%
         Curve (R)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.9% of Trea Turner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% -3.2% 5%         Walk -2.7% +1.0% 36%         In Play +8.8% +2.2% 39%         On Base +1.9% +4.1% 31%         Hit +4.5% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.6% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +1.0%

      History

      Trea Turner has 3 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331001000.333
      Expected From Contact →1.390.070.760.550.463
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-07-23Single7%65%15%13%
      2024-07-23Groundout39%61%
      2024-07-23Lineout11%2%87%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.