Matchup Machine

Trea Turner

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matchup for Mason Englert

398th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Mason Englert

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matchup for Trea Turner

116th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Extreme advantage for Turner
9

Model Prediction

Trea Turner has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Mason Englert, which is 0.9% higher than Turner's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Englert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.5%27.1%3.4%6.6%17.1%6.5%15.1%
Turner+0.9+2.3+0.4+1.3+0.6-1.4-5.1
Englert+2.0+3.3+0.3+0.6+2.4-1.2-4.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Trea Turner is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Mason Englert is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Turner has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Mason Englert throws a Slider 33% of the time. Trea Turner has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
33%
   4-Seam (R)
29%
   Changeup (R)
28%
   Curve (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.0% of Trea Turner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. Mason Englert strikes out 10.9% of the batters he faces, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.0% -5.9% 5%         Walk -3.0% -3.9% 36%         In Play +9.0% +9.8% 39%         On Base +1.6% -6.1% 31%         Hit +4.6% -2.2% 14%         Single +1.7% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% -1.7% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +1.7%

History

Trea Turner has 2 plate appearances against Mason Englert in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual211001011.000
Expected From Contact →0.790.000.690.100.789
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-24Walk
2023-06-05Single69%10%21%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.