Matchup Machine

Trea Turner

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matchup for Alex Speas

391st out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Alex Speas

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matchup for Trea Turner

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Turner
9

Model Prediction

Trea Turner has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 3.3% higher than Turner's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Speas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%25.2%3.1%6.1%16.1%10.6%19.5%
Turner+3.3+0.4+0.1+0.8-0.4+2.8-0.7
Speas+1.9+4.1+0.5+0.9+2.6-2.2-5.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Trea Turner is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Turner has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Trea Turner has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
77%
   4-Seam (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

11.0% of Trea Turner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.0% +19.9% 5%         Walk -3.0% -0.6% 36%         In Play +9.0% -19.3% 39%         On Base +1.6% -8.2% 31%         Hit +4.6% -7.6% 14%         Single +1.7% -5.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% -5.2% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +3.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years