matchup for Elvis Peguero
matchup for Brandon Nimmo
4
Brandon Nimmo has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Elvis Peguero, which is 1.8% higher than Nimmo's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Peguero.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 34.5% | 22.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 20.9% |
| Nimmo | +1.8 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -1.4 | +1.5 | +2.2 | -2.5 |
| Peguero | -0.9 | -2.5 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -1.6 | +1.5 | +0.2 |
Brandon Nimmo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvis Peguero is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Nimmo has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Elvis Peguero throws a Slider 51% of the time. Brandon Nimmo has a C grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
51%
Sinker (R)
48%
14% of Elvis Peguero's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Nimmo has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
14%
+6%
Chaser
9%
+3%
Likely Ball
22%
+2%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Mid Challenge
8%
-3%
Meatball
1%
-5%
40% of Elvis Peguero's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Nimmo has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Small Drop
40%
+28%
Extreme Break
42%
+27%
Breaking (R)
52%
+21%
Very Fast Velo
28%
+20%
13.5% of Brandon Nimmo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Elvis Peguero strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-1.8%
-5.9%
3%
Walk
+2.1%
+2.2%
40%
In Play
-0.3%
+3.7%
39%
On Base
+0.4%
+6.5%
31%
Hit
-1.7%
+4.3%
14%
Single
-0.6%
+2.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.4%
+2.8%
3%
Home Run
-0.7%
-0.9%
34.9% of Brandon Nimmo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Elvis Peguero induces Standard Grounders at a 47.9% rate, which is 13.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
0.0%
-0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.5%
+13.5%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.4%
+0.6%
14%
Low Screamer
+1.6%
-0.9%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.2%
-0.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.1%
-1.7%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.1%
-2.0%
1%
No Doubter
-0.6%
-0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.4%
-6.2%
3%
Pop up
-0.5%
-2.0%
28.6% of Brandon Nimmo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. 26.5% of batted balls allowed by Elvis Peguero are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.9%
-2.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.5%
+2.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.0%
+2.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.0%
-4.3%
24%
Above 100 mph
+4.3%
+2.2%
9.8% of Brandon Nimmo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 9.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvis Peguero are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+2.0%
+10.4%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.9%
+4.8%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.1%
-1.6%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.7%
+0.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.3%
-3.4%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.6%
-1.8%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.6%
-4.7%
8%
Above 50°
-0.7%
-4.1%
Brandon Nimmo has 1 plate appearance against Elvis Peguero in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.005 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-06-28 | Flyout | 100% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
