Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brandon Nimmo

matchup for Seth Lugo

287th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Brandon Nimmo

284th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Moderate advantage for Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.8% higher than Nimmo's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.1%	24.1%	3.0%	4.6%	16.5%	10.0%	25.1%
Nimmo	+0.8	+1.2	+0.2	-0.2	+1.2	-0.4	+2.0
Lugo	+1.7	+0.2	-0.1	-0.3	+0.6	+1.5	+0.3

Brandon Nimmo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Nimmo has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Brandon Nimmo has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Nimmo has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Nimmo has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

13.8% of Brandon Nimmo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.3% +0.8% 3%

Walk +2.4% -2.3% 40%

In Play -1.1% +1.4% 39%

On Base +0.7% -0.4% 31%

Hit -1.7% +1.9% 14%

Single -0.6% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -0.4% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.7% +0.1%

35.1% of Brandon Nimmo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.3% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.5% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.5% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -0.5% -2.2%

28.6% of Brandon Nimmo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.5% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.0% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.3% -1.6%

9.8% of Brandon Nimmo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%