Matchup Machine

Brandon Nimmo

Worst 2% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 27% of matchups for Brandon Nimmo

Extreme advantage for Nimmo

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.1%	5.3%	16.2%	10.4%	14.1%
MLB (+/-)	+1.3	+1.0	+2.3	+0.6	-11.1
Nimmo	-0.2	+0.6	+2.5	-3.5	-8.6
Gomber	+0.8	+0.9	-0.0	+2.5	-2.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.1%

5.3%

16.2%

10.4%

14.1%

MLB (+/-)

+1.3

+1.0

+2.3

+0.6

-11.1

Nimmo

-0.2

+0.6

+2.5

-3.5

-8.6

Gomber

+0.8

+0.9

-0.0

+2.5

-2.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	9	5	0	0	5	1	0	.556
Expected From Contact →			3.50	0.00	0.39	3.11			.388

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-28	Strikeout
2023-05-28	Single			22%	78%
2023-05-28	Single		30%	57%	13%
2023-05-06	Forceout			6%	94%
2023-05-06	Single		3%	88%	8%
2023-05-06	Single			13%	87%
2022-05-22	Groundout			53%	47%
2022-05-22	Single		3%	73%	24%
2022-05-22	Flyout		1%		99%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	46%	39	LHB vs LHP	22	20%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

46%

LHB vs LHP

20%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	42%	27	Fastball	16	45%
	18%	57	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐⭐	8%	106	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
	42%	31	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	53%	40	Slider	-6	20%
⭐⭐	45%	100	Changeup	0	18%
⭐⭐	54%	102	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

42%

Fastball

45%

18%

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐⭐

106

Offspeed

18%

------------------

42%

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

53%

Slider

-6

20%

⭐⭐

45%

100

Changeup

18%

⭐⭐

54%

102

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
48%	50	Away / Glove Side	38	17%
57%	58	Bottom of zone	13	13%
68%	37	Top of zone	-3	12%
71%	29	Middle	45	7%
73%	30	In / Arm Side	52	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

48%

Away / Glove Side

17%

57%

Bottom of zone

13%

68%

Top of zone

-3

12%

71%

Middle

73%

In / Arm Side

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
25%	45	Away / Glove Side	41	34%
34%	22	Below the zone	22	30%
24%	38	Above the zone	8	24%
34%	55	In / Arm Side	19	10%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

25%

Away / Glove Side

34%

Below the zone

30%

24%

Above the zone

24%

34%

In / Arm Side

10%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	26%	71	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐	52%	76	Batter Behind	0	28%
	45%	7	Batter Ahead	4	26%
	63%	50	2 Strikes	-23	26%
	61%	4	3 Balls	2	8%
	76%	36	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

26%

First Pitch

28%

⭐

52%

Batter Behind

28%

45%

Batter Ahead

26%

63%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

61%

3 Balls

76%

Full Count

-9