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Brandon Nimmo

matchup for Miles Mikolas

357th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

Miles Mikolas

matchup for Brandon Nimmo

92nd out of 567 (Best 17%)

Extreme advantage for Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 0.8% higher than Nimmo's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Mikolas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.1%	29.3%	3.3%	7.2%	18.9%	4.8%	19.5%
Nimmo	+0.8	+6.4	+0.5	+2.4	+3.5	-5.6	-3.6
Mikolas	+1.9	+1.2	+0.0	+0.6	+0.6	+0.7	-1.1

Brandon Nimmo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Nimmo has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Brandon Nimmo has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

27%

Slider (R)

26%

Sinker (R)

23%

Curve (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

13% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Nimmo has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

28% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Nimmo has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Extreme Drop 18%

+13%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

13.8% of Brandon Nimmo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.3% -3.3% 3%

Walk +2.4% -3.9% 40%

In Play -1.1% +7.2% 39%

On Base +0.7% -0.6% 31%

Hit -1.7% +3.3% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.4% +1.8% 3%

Home Run -0.7% +0.0%

35.1% of Brandon Nimmo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas induces Standard Grounders at a 38.7% rate, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.7% +4.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.3% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.5% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.5% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -0.5% -0.2%

28.6% of Brandon Nimmo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.5% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.0% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph 0.0% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.3% +1.1%

9.8% of Brandon Nimmo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.1% +0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.9% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -0.8% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° -1.3% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.6% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +0.6% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° -0.8% -2.1%

Brandon Nimmo has 18 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 16 with a home run, a double and 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	18	16	2	1	1	0	2	2	0.125
Expected From Contact →			4.55	2.60	1.44	0.51			0.285

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-07	Flyout		5%		94%
2024-05-07	Home Run	93%	3%		4%
2024-05-07	Lineout		4%	14%	82%
2024-04-26	Double		93%	3%	3%
2024-04-26	Flyout	88%	4%		8%
2024-04-26	Groundout		3%	5%	91%
2023-08-19	Groundout			12%	88%
2023-08-19	Field Error
2023-08-19	Walk
2023-06-16	Flyout	76%	6%		18%
2023-06-16	Flyout				100%
2023-06-16	Walk
2022-05-17	Strikeout
2022-05-17	Lineout	2%	17%	2%	78%
2022-05-17	Groundout			10%	90%
2022-04-25	Groundout			2%	98%
2022-04-25	Flyout		8%		91%
2022-04-25	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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