Matchup Machine

Brandon Nimmo

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

418th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Brandon Nimmo

23rd out of 567 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Nimmo
10

Model Prediction

Brandon Nimmo has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 5.6% higher than Nimmo's typical expectations, and 5.2% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.9%24.8%3.5%5.8%15.6%14.1%19.7%
Nimmo+5.6+2.0+0.7+1.0+0.3+3.6-3.4
Anderson+5.2+2.6+0.6+0.5+1.4+2.6-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Brandon Nimmo is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Nimmo has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Brandon Nimmo has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Brandon Nimmo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.3% -1.9% 3%         Walk +2.4% -1.0% 40%         In Play -1.1% +2.9% 39%         On Base +0.7% -0.1% 31%         Hit -1.7% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.2%

History

Brandon Nimmo has 10 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 10 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual10105005200.500
Expected From Contact →3.050.000.053.000.305
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-02Single13%87%
2024-08-02Single25%74%
2024-08-02Single1%79%20%
2022-08-31Groundout18%82%
2022-08-31Single2%92%6%
2022-08-31Single1%71%28%
2022-08-31Strikeout
2022-06-03Hit By Pitch
2022-06-03Strikeout
2022-06-03Groundout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.