Matchup Machine

Ketel Marte

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matchup for Jared Jones

358th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Ketel Marte

351st out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Moderate advantage for Marte
5

Model Prediction

Ketel Marte has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.4% higher than Marte's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%21.1%3.6%4.9%12.7%11.9%25.9%
Marte-0.4-0.9+0.4-0.1-1.1+0.4+5.2
Jones+2.0+0.3+0.6-0.1-0.2+1.7-2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ketel Marte is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Marte has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ketel Marte has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Ketel Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -5.9% +0.4% 3%         Walk +4.0% +0.6% 39%         In Play +2.0% -1.1% 39%         On Base +7.4% -0.1% 31%         Hit +3.4% -0.8% 14%         Single +0.1% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +2.9% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years