Matchup Machine

Ketel Marte

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

340th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Ketel Marte

226th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Strong advantage for Marte
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Model Prediction

Ketel Marte has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 1.5% higher than Marte's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%25.6%3.1%5.6%16.9%9.4%22.0%
Marte+1.5+3.6-0.1+0.5+3.2-2.1+1.2
Suarez+1.0+0.8+0.6-0.1+0.3+0.1-2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Ketel Marte is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Marte has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Ketel Marte has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Ketel Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -5.9% +0.1% 3%         Walk +4.0% -1.2% 39%         In Play +2.0% +1.1% 39%         On Base +7.4% +1.9% 31%         Hit +3.4% +3.1% 14%         Single +0.1% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +2.2% 3%         Home Run +2.9% -0.9%

History

Ketel Marte has 14 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 14 with 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual14144022300.286
Expected From Contact →4.260.771.921.570.304
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-10-24Strikeout
2023-10-24Strikeout
2023-10-24Strikeout
2023-10-19Groundout53%19%28%
2023-10-19Double90%6%3%
2023-10-19Double76%21%3%
2023-05-24Groundout11%89%
2023-05-24Lineout23%21%55%
2023-05-24Single56%44%
2022-08-29Pop Out100%
2022-08-29Single22%78%
2022-06-12Fielders Choice9%91%
2022-06-12Flyout4%96%
2022-06-12GIDP13%87%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.