Matchup Machine

Ketel Marte

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matchup for Erick Fedde

348th out of 436 (Worst 20%)

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Erick Fedde

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matchup for Ketel Marte

286th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Strong advantage for Marte
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Model Prediction

Ketel Marte has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 0.2% higher than Marte's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Fedde.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%21.1%3.1%4.9%13.1%12.2%16.8%
Marte-0.2-0.9-0.1-0.1-0.6+0.7-4.0
Fedde+1.2-1.8+0.5-0.4-1.9+3.0-2.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Ketel Marte is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Marte has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Ketel Marte has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Changeup (R)
8%
   Slider (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Ketel Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -5.9% -0.7% 3%         Walk +4.0% -1.3% 39%         In Play +2.0% +2.1% 39%         On Base +7.4% +0.7% 31%         Hit +3.4% +2.1% 14%         Single +0.1% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.3% 3%         Home Run +2.9% 0.0%

History

Ketel Marte has 9 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 5 for 9 with 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual995023100.556
Expected From Contact →2.800.171.271.370.312
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-15Groundout4%96%
2024-06-15Single8%92%
2024-06-15Single46%54%
2022-07-24Strikeout
2022-07-24Double16%30%53%
2022-07-24Sac Fly46%3%50%
2022-04-20Single29%71%
2022-04-20Double50%45%5%
2022-04-20Flyout1%99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.