Matchup Machine

Ketel Marte

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matchup for Austin Gomber

429th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Ketel Marte

14th out of 567 (Best 3%)

Extreme advantage for Marte
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Model Prediction

Ketel Marte has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.9% higher than Marte's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%28.3%5.0%7.2%16.2%7.2%12.5%
Marte+1.9+6.3+1.8+2.1+2.4-4.4-8.2
Gomber+3.7+2.4+1.6+0.5+0.3+1.3-5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Ketel Marte is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Marte has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Ketel Marte has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Ketel Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -5.9% -3.3% 3%         Walk +4.0% -2.5% 39%         In Play +2.0% +5.9% 39%         On Base +7.4% +0.6% 31%         Hit +3.4% +3.1% 14%         Single +0.1% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +2.9% +0.3%

History

Ketel Marte has 22 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 20 with a home run, a double and 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual22206114220.300
Expected From Contact →7.100.622.833.660.355
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-18Lineout13%11%76%
2024-09-18Strikeout
2024-04-10Groundout2%98%
2024-04-10Single5%62%33%
2024-04-10Lineout21%60%1%18%
2024-03-30Groundout17%18%66%
2024-03-30Groundout21%78%
2024-03-30Walk
2023-08-16Flyout100%
2023-08-16Pop Out100%
2023-08-16Single6%78%16%
2023-04-30Groundout14%86%
2023-04-30Forceout11%89%
2023-04-30Walk
2022-09-11Double85%5%10%
2022-09-09Lineout3%6%92%
2022-08-14Strikeout
2022-07-07Groundout13%87%
2022-07-07Single65%28%7%
2022-07-02Lineout2%7%91%
2022-07-02Home Run40%27%5%29%
2022-07-02Single84%16%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.