Matchup Machine

Ketel Marte

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

230th out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Ketel Marte

98th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Extreme advantage for Marte
9

Model Prediction

Ketel Marte has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.1% higher than Marte's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.6%25.3%2.5%4.5%18.3%13.4%16.5%
Marte+5.1+3.3-0.7-0.5+4.5+1.8-4.2
Stroman+1.0-3.6-0.2-1.3-2.0+4.6-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ketel Marte is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Marte has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Ketel Marte has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Ketel Marte's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -5.9% -3.1% 3%         Walk +4.0% -0.8% 39%         In Play +2.0% +3.9% 39%         On Base +7.4% +3.0% 31%         Hit +3.4% +3.8% 14%         Single +0.1% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +2.9% -1.1%

History

Ketel Marte has 4 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441001100.250
Expected From Contact →1.350.000.071.280.337
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-16Groundout3%38%58%
2023-09-15Groundout3%1%96%
2022-05-19Strikeout
2022-05-19Single88%12%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.