Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Teoscar Hernandez

matchup for Cole Winn

203rd out of 436 (Best 47%)

Cole Winn

matchup for T. Hernandez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Hernandez

Teoscar Hernandez has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 2.7% higher than Hernandez's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Winn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.4%	25.0%	3.0%	6.1%	15.9%	9.4%	27.2%
Hernandez	+2.7	+3.0	-0.3	+0.9	+2.3	-0.3	-1.3
Winn	+0.1	+0.2	+0.3	+0.1	-0.1	-0.1	+6.1

Teoscar Hernandez is worse vs right-handed pitching. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hernandez has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Teoscar Hernandez has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Slider (R)

27%

Splitter (R)

18%

Sinker (R)

15% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Teoscar Hernandez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

37% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Teoscar Hernandez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+17%

Medium Slow Velo 29%

+16%

Small Drop 22%

+9%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

16.5% of Teoscar Hernandez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.2% -4.3% 4%

Walk +1.0% -3.6% 41%

In Play -4.1% +7.9% 39%

On Base +1.7% +6.4% 31%

Hit +0.8% +10.0% 14%

Single -1.1% +5.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.1% +6.0% 3%

Home Run +2.9% -1.5%

32.7% of Teoscar Hernandez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. Cole Winn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.7% rate, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.7% -1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.7% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.8% +2.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% -3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.8% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +2.1% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.3% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.7% +5.0% 3%

Pop up -0.4% -1.3%

36.2% of Teoscar Hernandez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.9% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% -6.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.9% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.1% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.9% -0.7%

11.8% of Teoscar Hernandez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%