Matchup Machine

Teoscar Hernandez

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

336th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for T. Hernandez

85th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Strong advantage for Hernandez
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Model Prediction

Teoscar Hernandez has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.3% higher than Hernandez's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%23.1%3.7%6.8%12.7%11.9%25.9%
Hernandez+3.3+1.1+0.3+1.6-0.8+2.2-2.6
Anderson+1.3+0.9+0.8+1.5-1.4+0.4+4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Teoscar Hernandez is better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hernandez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Teoscar Hernandez has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.5% of Teoscar Hernandez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.2% -1.9% 4%         Walk +1.0% -1.0% 41%         In Play -4.1% +2.9% 39%         On Base +1.7% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.8% +0.9% 14%         Single -1.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +2.9% -0.2%

History

Teoscar Hernandez has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.000.030.000.011
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-05Flyout2%98%
2023-08-05Flyout1%99%
2023-08-05Caught Stealing 2B

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.