matchup for Zach Brzykcy
matchup for Orlando Arcia
5
Orlando Arcia has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Zach Brzykcy, which is 2.9% higher than Arcia's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Brzykcy.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.6% | 23.6% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 21.1% |
| Arcia | +2.9 | +1.9 | +0.4 | +1.4 | +0.2 | +0.9 | -3.9 |
| Brzykcy | -2.3 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 | +0.5 | -2.5 | -0.6 |
Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Brzykcy is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Zach Brzykcy throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
56%
Curve (R)
23%
Changeup (R)
21%
27% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
27%
+8%
Meatball
8%
+2%
Mid Challenge
12%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Non-Competitive
13%
0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Weak Challenge
6%
-2%
Fringe Miss
9%
-4%
50% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
50%
+31%
High Ride
37%
+26%
Fast Velo
30%
+15%
Offspeed (R)
21%
+10%
14.0% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Zach Brzykcy strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
-1.0%
-9.3%
4%
Walk
-0.5%
+2.8%
39%
In Play
+1.5%
+6.5%
39%
On Base
-2.0%
+16.6%
31%
Hit
-1.5%
+13.9%
14%
Single
-0.6%
+4.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.7%
+4.8%
3%
Home Run
-0.2%
+4.7%
42.6% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Zach Brzykcy induces Standard Grounders at a 17.0% rate, which is 17.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
0.0%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
+8.2%
-17.4%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.8%
+2.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.6%
-2.9%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.3%
+0.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.6%
+0.3%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.1%
+7.4%
1%
No Doubter
-0.8%
-1.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.5%
+14.7%
3%
Pop up
+0.5%
-3.4%
20.0% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+2.3%
-11.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.5%
0.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.9%
+0.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.5%
+8.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-4.3%
+2.8%
8.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 29.3% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at this angle, which is 17.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+7.2%
-8.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.5%
-4.8%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.3%
+1.5%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.9%
-6.5%
15%
19 to 28°
-2.9%
+7.6%
11%
29 to 38°
-3.3%
+17.9%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.9%
-7.9%
8%
Above 50°
+0.1%
+0.7%
Orlando Arcia has 1 plate appearance against Zach Brzykcy in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.49 | 0.05 | 0.40 | 0.04 | 0.487 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-10 | Lineout | 5% | 40% | 4% | 51% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
