Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Orlando Arcia

matchup for Daniel Palencia

127th out of 436 (Best 30%)

Daniel Palencia

matchup for Orlando Arcia

out of 564 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Palencia

Orlando Arcia has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 2.5% higher than Arcia's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Palencia.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.5%	20.0%	2.2%	3.4%	14.4%	12.5%	27.7%
Arcia	+2.5	-1.7	-0.3	-1.1	-0.3	+4.2	+2.4
Palencia	-2.3	+0.5	-0.1	-0.5	+1.1	-2.8	+0.5

Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Arcia has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

61%

Slider (R)

29%

Sinker (R)

11% of Daniel Palencia's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 11%

+6%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

42% of Daniel Palencia's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 39% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 42%

+39%

Medium Ride 36%

+22%

Large Break 43%

+22%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.2% +4.4% 4%

Walk -0.4% +3.4% 39%

In Play +1.6% -7.8% 39%

On Base -1.8% -0.7% 31%

Hit -1.4% -4.2% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.6% -1.6% 3%

Home Run -0.2% -0.6%

42.6% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia induces Standard Grounders at a 40.2% rate, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.2% +5.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% -2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -1.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% -3.5% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +0.4%

20.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 32.4% of batted balls allowed by Daniel Palencia are hit at above 100 mph, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% -4.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.5% -1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% +0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% -3.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.3% +8.1%

8.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. 4.7% of batted balls allowed by Daniel Palencia are hit at this angle, which is 6.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.1% +3.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.6% -3.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.4% +2.6% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% +5.2% 15%

19 to 28° -2.9% +2.1% 11%

29 to 38° -3.4% -6.8% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% -3.5% 8%

Above 50° +0.0% +0.0%

Orlando Arcia has 2 plate appearances against Daniel Palencia in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.11	0.00	0.00	0.11			0.114

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-27	Groundout			11%	89%
2023-08-05	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe