Matchup Machine

Orlando Arcia

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matchup for Taj Bradley

118th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Taj Bradley

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matchup for Orlando Arcia

402nd out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Bradley
4

Model Prediction

Orlando Arcia has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.9% lower than Arcia's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Bradley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%22.4%2.2%3.6%16.6%6.7%26.6%
Arcia-0.9+0.7-0.3-0.9+1.9-1.6+1.3
Bradley-1.6-0.2-0.4-1.2+1.4-1.4+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.2% +3.2% 4%         Walk -0.4% +0.4% 39%         In Play +1.6% -3.5% 39%         On Base -1.8% -1.3% 31%         Hit -1.4% -1.6% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +1.2%

History

Orlando Arcia has 2 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.860.000.010.850.429
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-08Single85%14%
2023-07-08Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.