Orlando Arcia has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.9% lower than Arcia's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Bradley.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 29.1% | 22.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 16.6% | 6.7% | 26.6% |
Arcia | -0.9 | +0.7 | -0.3 | -0.9 | +1.9 | -1.6 | +1.3 |
Bradley | -1.6 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -1.2 | +1.4 | -1.4 | +0.3 |
Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Orlando Arcia has 2 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.85 | 0.429 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-07-08 | Single | 85% | 14% | ||
2023-07-08 | Flyout | 100% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.