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Orlando Arcia

matchup for Logan Gillaspie

153rd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Logan Gillaspie

matchup for Orlando Arcia

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Arcia

Orlando Arcia has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 0.5% higher than Arcia's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Gillaspie.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.5%	24.8%	2.2%	5.0%	17.5%	5.7%	17.6%
Arcia	+0.5	+3.1	-0.2	+0.5	+2.8	-2.6	-7.7
Gillaspie	-1.1	-0.5	-0.4	-0.5	+0.4	-0.6	-1.7

Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arcia has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

46%

Slider (R)

24%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

14% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

32% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+16%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

High Ride 21%

+11%

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.2% -9.1% 4%

Walk -0.4% -5.0% 39%

In Play +1.6% +14.2% 39%

On Base -1.8% +11.5% 31%

Hit -1.4% +16.6% 14%

Single -0.6% +8.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.6% +7.8% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +0.2%

42.6% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.2% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% +3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -2.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% +4.7% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -1.7%

20.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 31.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% -3.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.5% -4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -5.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% +5.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.3% +7.3%

8.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.1% +0.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.6% +0.6% 8%

1 to 6° +0.4% -3.2% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% +0.9% 15%

19 to 28° -2.9% +6.4% 11%

29 to 38° -3.4% -0.1% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% -2.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.0% -2.7%

Orlando Arcia has 2 plate appearances against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.26	0.00	0.10	1.15			0.629

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-12	Single			84%	15%
2024-05-20	Lineout		10%	31%	59%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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