Matchup Machine

Orlando Arcia

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matchup for Alex Speas

67th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Alex Speas

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matchup for Orlando Arcia

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Speas
2

Model Prediction

Orlando Arcia has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 0.4% higher than Arcia's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Speas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%19.7%2.4%4.2%13.1%10.7%26.8%
Arcia+0.4-2.0-0.1-0.3-1.6+2.4+1.4
Speas-3.5-1.4-0.1-0.9-0.3-2.1+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Arcia has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a C grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
77%
   4-Seam (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.2% +19.9% 4%         Walk -0.4% -0.6% 39%         In Play +1.6% -19.3% 39%         On Base -1.8% -8.2% 31%         Hit -1.4% -7.6% 14%         Single -0.6% -5.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% -5.2% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +3.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years