Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Orlando Arcia

matchup for Brad Keller

150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

Brad Keller

matchup for Orlando Arcia

170th out of 567 (Best 31%)

Moderate advantage for Arcia

Orlando Arcia has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Brad Keller, which is 2.1% higher than Arcia's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Keller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	22.2%	2.3%	4.5%	15.3%	9.9%	20.7%
Arcia	+2.1	+0.5	-0.1	0.0	+0.6	+1.6	-4.6
Keller	-0.7	-0.5	-0.7	-0.5	+0.6	-0.2	+0.8

Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brad Keller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Brad Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

34%

Sinker (R)

16%

13% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

Meatball 5%

-2%

39% of Brad Keller's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Orlando Arcia has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 39%

+16%

Small Break 25%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 27%

+12%

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Brad Keller strikes out 11.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.2% -5.3% 4%

Walk -0.4% +0.7% 39%

In Play +1.6% +4.6% 39%

On Base -1.8% +4.5% 31%

Hit -1.4% +3.8% 14%

Single -0.6% +2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.6% +2.3% 3%

Home Run -0.2% -0.5%

42.6% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Brad Keller induces Standard Grounders at a 42.2% rate, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.2% +7.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.3% -3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% -4.3% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -1.6%

20.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.3% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.5% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% -0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.3% +1.1%

8.1% of Orlando Arcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. 9.4% of batted balls allowed by Brad Keller are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%