Matchup Machine

Orlando Arcia

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matchup for Pablo Lopez

123rd out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Pablo Lopez

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matchup for Orlando Arcia

396th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Moderate advantage for Lopez
4

Model Prediction

Orlando Arcia has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 0.6% lower than Arcia's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Lopez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.4%23.0%2.1%3.8%17.1%6.4%27.1%
Arcia-0.6+1.3-0.3-0.8+2.4-1.9+1.8
Lopez-1.2-0.7-0.4-0.8+0.5-0.5+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Arcia has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.2% +4.2% 4%         Walk -0.4% -2.5% 39%         In Play +1.6% -1.7% 39%         On Base -1.8% -1.8% 31%         Hit -1.4% +0.7% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years