Matchup Machine

Orlando Arcia

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matchup for Yonny Chirinos

96th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Yonny Chirinos

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matchup for Orlando Arcia

150th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Moderate advantage for Arcia
3

Model Prediction

Orlando Arcia has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 2.5% higher than Arcia's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Chirinos.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.5%22.1%2.7%3.8%15.7%10.4%20.2%
Arcia+2.5+0.4+0.2-0.8+1.0+2.1-5.1
Chirinos-1.7-1.7-0.4-1.5+0.1+0.1+0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arcia has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.2% -7.8% 4%         Walk -0.4% -0.6% 39%         In Play +1.6% +8.3% 39%         On Base -1.8% +2.3% 31%         Hit -1.4% +2.9% 14%         Single -0.6% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% +1.4% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years