Matchup Machine

Orlando Arcia

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matchup for Yunior Marte

208th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Yunior Marte

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matchup for Orlando Arcia

55th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Strong advantage for Arcia
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Model Prediction

Orlando Arcia has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Yunior Marte, which is 5.3% higher than Arcia's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Marte.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%23.6%2.5%4.1%16.9%11.7%20.4%
Arcia+5.3+1.8+0.1-0.4+2.2+3.5-4.9
Marte-0.8-0.1-0.1-0.5+0.6-0.7-1.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Orlando Arcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yunior Marte is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Arcia has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yunior Marte throws a Slider 41% of the time. Orlando Arcia has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
41%
   Sinker (R)
40%
   4-Seam (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Orlando Arcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Yunior Marte strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.2% -2.5% 4%         Walk -0.4% +1.0% 39%         In Play +1.6% +1.5% 39%         On Base -1.8% +11.4% 31%         Hit -1.4% +10.4% 14%         Single -0.6% +5.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% +5.7% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -0.5%

History

Orlando Arcia has 7 plate appearances against Yunior Marte in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual761010110.167
Expected From Contact →1.230.010.870.350.205
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-30Groundout8%92%
2024-03-30Groundout4%96%
2024-03-29Double86%10%4%
2023-09-19Strikeout
2023-09-13Groundout2%5%94%
2023-09-12Walk
2023-06-22Groundout8%92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.